Welcome to tropical depression 27 soon to be tropical storm GAMMA!! With late November tornados ripping up the Midwest, and 24(!!!) named storms, so far, I would say its fare to assume that global warming is at least helping to fuel all this mania. It may not be the cause of any of it, and I understand the Atlantic cycle blah blah blah, the fact is warm air and warm water fuel these events, you also have to consider that (relatively) warmer air in winter will lead to more snow, as warm air can hold more moisture, so look for a lot of blizzards and snow storms this year. Combine rising heating costs with lots of snow = lots of dead people. Or at the least a lot of hungry/cold people depending on what is more important to that family.